Shapley wrote:I don't think it is about deterring Israel. It is about getting Obama to put more pressure on Israel to not attack, IMHO. Iran knows how to play Mr. Obama.
I not only don't think Israel will be
deterred, I also believe in the current environment an attack is
inevitable. I believe the president is watching history being made while voting “present.”
I know a little about military war planning, I graduated from the "Contingency Wartime Planning Course" at Maxwell AFB (their motto is "
Think War, Plan On It" I wear that tee shirt at my local gym, always gets comments
)
In my last job at the Air Mobility Command at Scott AFB I planned all the deployments of everyone in my command, lots of fiddly bits that several hundred other planners were doing at the same time and it all comes together in the Time-Phased Force Deployment (alternatively called the "Tip-Fid") for that particular deployment/operation. We were also responsible for preparing tipfids for almost every imaginable scenario that the "Seven Samurais" (seven very,
very bright colonels that essentially ran the Tanker Airlift Control Center, where all this tipfidding occurred) thought of and they were very good at thinking up some really wild scenarios. Most were classified but one fun one was thinking how the USAF could airlift a - regiment? Brigade? I forgot – and all ther material to the south pole.
I remember working on several different ones that involved a different levels of military engagement between the U.S. ranging from isolated naval clashes to full out war. I suspect many of those same plans have been brought up to date and have even gotten more elaborate.
"Think War Plan On It” is probably a good attitude to have towards Iran, especially when/if Israel attacks Iran’s nuclear facilities.
